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natural-memory-nm21/router_scorecard_prod.md
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WpyQwq 643e22ecb9 Natural Memory NM2.1: 记忆路由器分叉、数据集缺陷修复与全轴评测证据 
- 引入 MemoryRouterXL 与 v5/v6 流式多线程训练/编码管线
- 修复 prepare_memory_router_dataset 候选池重建缺陷（mega 家族 3568x 加速，输出逐字节相同）
- 修复 v5 被破坏的拒答与多跳标签（train 未知样本 319 -> 16319，multi_hop 平均正例 1.00 -> 2.00）
- 同存储预算下 V2-128 v6 逐轴 22/22 通过：Top-1 41.12% -> 94.62%，未知拒答 0.00% -> 100.00%
- 记录三条被实测推翻的显然优化（logits_to_keep=1 反而慢 55%、XL 容量未带来收益）
- 记忆手术跨架构可移植性 14/14，读写关闭时与原生模型逐位相同
2026-09-19 11:11:31 +08:00

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| metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 参数 | 2,037,774 | 2,037,774 | 2,037,774 | 2,037,774 | 2,037,774 |
| router_dim | 128 | 128 | 128 | 128 | 128 |
| 每条记录地址字节 | 512 | 512 | 512 | 512 | 512 |
| **Top-1 正确率** | 41.12% | 94.14% | 93.78% | 93.81% | 94.62% |
| Recall@1 | 37.03% | 88.58% | 88.34% | 88.38% | 89.19% |
| Recall@3 | 46.73% | 96.48% | 96.59% | 96.78% | 97.81% |
| Recall@5 | 48.91% | 97.15% | 97.33% | 97.78% | 98.40% |
| MRR | 47.69% | 95.77% | 95.59% | 95.70% | 96.49% |
| nDCG@3 | 44.22% | 95.37% | 95.39% | 95.53% | 96.49% |
| 多跳证据全中(Top-3) | 43.43% | 96.22% | 96.50% | 96.70% | 97.75% |
| hop 正确率 | 73.23% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| hop 欠预测率 | 4.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| need F1 | 89.58% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| need 召回 | 99.82% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| **未知拒答率** | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| **已知问题被误拒率** | 0.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 仲裁准确率 | 81.12% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 已知问题 need 概率均值 | 97.63% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 未知问题 need 概率均值 | 99.89% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.12% |
| 平均分数余量 | -9.2989 | 40.1456 | 21.8925 | 18.4219 | 14.9592 |
| 单查询延迟 ms(GPU) | 0.9698 | 0.9359 | 0.9776 | 1.2315 | 1.2807 |
| 路由 QPS(GPU, 单查询) | 1031.1135 | 1068.4453 | 1022.9307 | 812.0051 | 780.7949 |
| 批量 QPS(GPU, batch=64) | 64355.2410 | 65927.7268 | 73335.6250 | 49115.9135 | 62429.2793 |
| 批量 QPS(GPU, batch=256) | 185281.6861 | 262171.5170 | 273837.7940 | 141564.7326 | 201612.9032 |
| 批量延迟 ms(GPU, batch=64) | 0.0155 | 0.0152 | 0.0136 | 0.0204 | 0.0160 |
### family = `benchmark_qa`
| metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| episodes | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 |
| Top-1 正确率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Recall@3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| MRR | - | - | - | - | - |
| hop 正确率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 已知问题被误拒率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 平均分数余量 | - | - | - | - | - |
### family = `mega_validation`
| metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| episodes | 20000 | 20000 | 20000 | 20000 | 20000 |
| Top-1 正确率 | 44.24% | 98.22% | 98.09% | 97.98% | 97.69% |
| Recall@3 | 49.15% | 99.72% | 99.90% | 99.92% | 99.94% |
| MRR | 50.04% | 99.11% | 99.04% | 98.99% | 98.84% |
| hop 正确率 | 74.95% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 平均分数余量 | -8.0919 | 44.7334 | 24.1982 | 20.2809 | 16.4023 |
### family = `memory_policy`
| metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| episodes | 1728 | 1728 | 1728 | 1728 | 1728 |
| Top-1 正确率 | 14.53% | 58.76% | 57.64% | 59.23% | 68.54% |
| Recall@3 | 26.77% | 67.31% | 67.96% | 70.01% | 78.62% |
| MRR | 28.02% | 66.33% | 66.32% | 68.25% | 76.18% |
| hop 正确率 | 57.41% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 已知问题被误拒率 | 1.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 平均分数余量 | -19.3599 | -0.2722 | 1.8109 | 2.2951 | 2.3780 |
### family = `native_memory`
| metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| episodes | 128 | 128 | 128 | 128 | 128 |
| Top-1 正确率 | 0.00% | 47.66% | 25.23% | 21.50% | 51.40% |
| Recall@3 | 2.80% | 77.57% | 58.88% | 53.27% | 85.05% |
| MRR | 10.23% | 65.73% | 46.57% | 42.50% | 69.28% |
| hop 正确率 | 53.91% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 平均分数余量 | -29.2917 | -1.0887 | -2.5304 | -2.2910 | -0.1162 |
### 读取/拒答门槛曲线
| run | threshold | need F1 | need 召回 | 未知拒答率 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 未知被误读率 | tp/tn/fp/fn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.30 | 89.67% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 17814/0/4106/0 |
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.40 | 89.67% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 17814/0/4106/0 |
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.50 | 89.58% | 99.82% | 0.00% | 0.18% | 100.00% | 17782/0/4106/32 |
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.60 | 89.30% | 99.26% | 0.00% | 0.74% | 100.00% | 17682/0/4106/132 |
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.70 | 89.19% | 99.05% | 0.00% | 0.95% | 100.00% | 17645/0/4106/169 |
| V2-128 deployed(v3) | 0.80 | 89.01% | 98.68% | 0.00% | 1.32% | 100.00% | 17579/0/4106/235 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.30 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.40 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.50 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.60 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| REPLAY-128 v7 | 0.80 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.30 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.40 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.50 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.60 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step20000 | 0.80 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.30 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.40 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.50 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.60 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| PROD-128 step10000 | 0.80 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.30 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.40 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.50 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.60 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.70 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
| V2-128 v6 best | 0.80 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17814/4106/0/0 |
### 按 mega 类别拆解（每类 2,000 条）
| 类别 | episodes | metric | V2-128 deployed(v3) | REPLAY-128 v7 | PROD-128 step20000 | PROD-128 step10000 | V2-128 v6 best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (未分类) | - | Top-1 正确率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | Recall@3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | MRR | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | 多跳证据全中 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | hop 正确率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | 已知问题被误拒率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| (未分类) | - | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| conflict_update | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 79.60% | 99.10% | 99.30% | 99.25% | 98.85% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | Recall@3 | 91.25% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | MRR | 85.83% | 99.55% | 99.65% | 99.62% | 99.42% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 91.25% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 49.55% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| conflict_update | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| conflict_update | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 23.10% | 97.30% | 97.55% | 97.40% | 97.55% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | Recall@3 | 25.35% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | MRR | 26.60% | 98.65% | 98.78% | 98.70% | 98.78% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 25.35% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| distractor_128 | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 22.55% | 98.30% | 98.30% | 98.15% | 98.05% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | Recall@3 | 24.55% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | MRR | 25.96% | 99.15% | 99.15% | 99.08% | 99.02% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 24.55% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| distractor_32 | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | Recall@3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | MRR | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| forget_correction | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| forget_correction | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| forget_correction | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 52.55% | 97.80% | 98.45% | 97.90% | 98.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | Recall@3 | 62.45% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | MRR | 58.55% | 98.89% | 99.22% | 98.94% | 98.99% |
| long_context | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 62.45% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| long_context | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| long_context | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| multi_hop | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 73.00% | 99.05% | 96.85% | 96.75% | 96.65% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | Recall@3 | 66.57% | 97.72% | 99.17% | 99.38% | 99.50% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | MRR | 84.53% | 99.52% | 98.41% | 98.36% | 98.30% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 37.15% | 95.45% | 98.35% | 98.75% | 99.00% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| multi_hop | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| multi_hop | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| paraphrase | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 44.30% | 99.40% | 99.55% | 99.25% | 98.55% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | Recall@3 | 55.25% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | MRR | 51.19% | 99.70% | 99.78% | 99.62% | 99.28% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 55.25% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| paraphrase | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| paraphrase | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| random_position | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 24.90% | 97.80% | 98.15% | 97.90% | 97.80% |
| random_position | 2000 | Recall@3 | 28.70% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| random_position | 2000 | MRR | 29.20% | 98.89% | 99.08% | 98.95% | 98.90% |
| random_position | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 28.70% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| random_position | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| random_position | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| random_position | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| random_position | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| single_fact | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | 33.90% | 97.05% | 96.60% | 97.25% | 96.05% |
| single_fact | 2000 | Recall@3 | 39.10% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| single_fact | 2000 | MRR | 38.46% | 98.52% | 98.29% | 98.62% | 98.00% |
| single_fact | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | 39.10% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| single_fact | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| single_fact | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| single_fact | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| single_fact | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown | 1920 | Top-1 正确率 | 13.67% | 58.10% | 55.73% | 57.00% | 67.53% |
| unknown | 1920 | Recall@3 | 25.36% | 67.92% | 67.42% | 69.02% | 79.00% |
| unknown | 1920 | MRR | 26.97% | 66.30% | 65.15% | 66.73% | 75.78% |
| unknown | 1920 | 多跳证据全中 | 25.36% | 67.92% | 67.42% | 69.02% | 79.00% |
| unknown | 1920 | hop 正确率 | 55.26% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| unknown | 1920 | 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| unknown | 1920 | 已知问题被误拒率 | 1.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| unknown | 1920 | 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | Top-1 正确率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | Recall@3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | MRR | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | 多跳证据全中 | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | hop 正确率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | 未知拒答率 | 0.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | 已知问题被误拒率 | - | - | - | - | - |
| unknown_abstention | 2000 | 未知问题被误读率 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
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